Unsettled out to 10 days?
Looking like this dry spell will end and not return for a while. 4
consecutive gfs runs now showing Atlantic conditions across the UK for
the forseeable future. A large Scandinavian block may delay the
progress of those lows and fronts somewhat, keeping eastern areas of
the UK drier, but that looks as if it may decline and allow in
Atlantic weather further by T240. It would need a 5th gfs run and ECM
agreement for me to forecast with confidence. Not exactly a zonal
train, but not the settled and mainly dry weather that we've become
used to. Never cold, but not particularly mild either. Autumnal
looking, I suppose - whatever exactly that means in the UK!
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