On Oct 20, 1:03*pm, Dawlish wrote:
On Oct 19, 11:50*pm, Robin Nicholson



wrote:
On Mon, 19 Oct 2009 03:28:11 -0700 (PDT), Dawlish
wrote:

Looking like this dry spell will end and not return for a while. 4
consecutive gfs runs now showing Atlantic conditions across the UK for
the forseeable future. A large Scandinavian block may delay the
progress of those lows and fronts somewhat, keeping eastern areas of
the UK drier, but that looks as if it may decline and allow in
Atlantic weather further by T240.

Interesting - I was forming the impression that the west to east shift
was not going to falter as I thought it might a few days ago. I see
Willo is going to review the end of the week midweek. Not concerned
really as I am staying on the Norfolk coast next week and it can blow
a bit if it wants. I am definitely 'chilling out' over there.

R

Hilton

Something possibly brewing for Sunday. Both the ECM and the gfs centre
a deep low over the UK with some strong winds wrapped around it. Still
early for any detail and height rises to the east may well emasculate
this possible storm completely, but it's there at 5 days.

It's most unfortunate that this spell seems to be peaking on Saturday
and Sunday, these sorts of weather conditions can really mess up a
weekend. Still the timing is crucial, if all the frontal systems pass
through between, say 5pm to 11am, and that crucial six-hour late
morning/lunch/afternoon window is dry, then it's nothing like such a
problem.

Nick