----- Original Message -----
From:
Newsgroups: uk.sci.weather
Sent: Monday, October 26, 2009 3:58 PM
Subject: Untypically inaccurate forecast


When the forecast goes wrong as badly as it has today, Monday 26th
October, I realise just how good they are normally. Today having been
promised sun, I looked forward to some enjoyable gardening. Sure it
didn’t rain, but it was unremittingly cloudy and judging by the light
levels, that cloud wasn’t thin. It was a rare bad forecast, so
unusual in fact that I am moved to comment on it.

The change to GMT must be to blame:-)

Jack in south Cambridgeshire


I think you make a very good point here, Jack. For the most part we've
become increasingly accustomed to very accurate forecasts in the 1 to 2 day
range. So much so that it's now quite rare for something to occur that is
totally unexpected, at least from a personal perspective. The last really
notable event that came as a complete surprise to me (observed from a
distance) was the Ottery St. Mary storm last October.
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/...sting/oct2008/

It will be interesting to see how the very high resolution models (~1.5km),
now being used routinely, handle similar events in the future.

Jon.