On 31 Oct, 09:55, "Will Hand" wrote:

No not really Richard. Rainfall can be overdone at times as latent heat
feedbacks can occasionally get out of control but generally it is a very
good model and needs to be taken seriously.

That's good - I thought there were teething troubles with over-
intensification (a la GFS?!)

Wet and windy sums up tomorrow
I'd say - nothing unusual for the time of year, but exciting given the long
period of quiet soft weather we have had recently. However, .... lurking in
the back of, and haunting every forecaster's mind, is the spectre of 15th
October 1987 :-)

This one's track reminds me more of 30 Oct 2000, maybe. For me, the
spectre of Oct 87 will continue to lurk (French storms 1999 being the
prime example) with so few observations over the Atlantic.

Richard