On Oct 31, 9:55*am, "Will Hand" wrote:
"Richard Dixon" wrote in message

...

On 30 Oct, 20:59, "Will Hand" wrote:

OMG have you seen the 18Z run Jon?

OMG?! That's enough teenage girl lingo from you, Hand.

That aside, the link is a veritable boon! Odd wind units - km/h? For
the given gradient that seems odd...

992 - 968mb in 12 hours towards the end of the run. Hours of fun - I
knew opening my big gob thinking it didn't look like too much
(although doesn't the NAE have a record of overcooking?)

Cheers,
Richard

No not really Richard. Rainfall can be overdone at times as latent heat
feedbacks can occasionally get out of control but generally it is a very
good model and needs to be taken seriously. Wet and windy sums up tomorrow
I'd say - nothing unusual for the time of year, but exciting given the long
period of quiet soft weather we have had recently. However, .... lurking in
the back of, and haunting every forecaster's mind, is the spectre of 15th
October 1987 :-)

Will
--

That weatheronline expert charts website is excellent. Nice to be able
to compare models so easily.

I often use the charts of grib data available from
http://www.grib.us
You can download free software from here to get the high res gfs data
from anywhere in the world.
- Global GFS Data
- updated every 6 hours (runtime + 5 hours)
- 3 hour time-steps
- native resolution of 0.5° x 0.5°
- 7 day forecasts

It's very user friendly. I like the meteograms delivered for any
location with a click of the mouse.

Regarding the Sunday storm, GFS output is only giving 30 knots, gusts
of course may be a bit scary. Conditions at sea will be nasty,
especially the southern N Sea.
Rainfall rates are forecast to be only between 3 and 4 mm/hr. The
modelling of these is the trickiest part as we all know.

Len
Wembury, SW Devon