On 4 Nov, 12:46, Dawlish wrote:
On Nov 4, 10:41*am, Graham P Davis wrote:

Will Hand wrote:
Oh here we go, the first "winter is written off post before it has even
started" :-)

Not the first; I wrote it off here about a couple of months ago. ;-)

Mind you, that was based on the SST anomaly at the time and I warned that
there was plenty of time for it to change. A week ago I'd probably have
stuck to a mild, westerly type of winter but the latest SST picture has an
interesting development of a cold pool at 40N 40W. If this were to grow, the
odds against a cold winter could tumble.

--
Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks., UK. *E-mail: newsman not newsboy
"I wear the cheese. It does not wear me."

Not in my book Graham. Again, the relationship between Atlantic SSTs
and seasonal weather in the UK, winter, or otherwise, is far from
understood!

Agree. I've followed Atlantic SSTs for years, and think they are an
extremely poor predictor of UK weather. They are, more often than not,
just a reflection of a persistent weather pattern. Once that changes,
so do the anomalies.

Graham
Penzance