Keith(Southend) wrote:
Graham P Davis wrote:
Will Hand wrote:

Oh here we go, the first "winter is written off post before it has even
started" :-)

Not the first; I wrote it off here about a couple of months ago. ;-)

Mind you, that was based on the SST anomaly at the time and I warned
that there was plenty of time for it to change. A week ago I'd
probably have stuck to a mild, westerly type of winter but the latest
SST picture has an interesting development of a cold pool at 40N 40W.
If this were to grow, the odds against a cold winter could tumble.


The cold pool seem to be getting colder looking at the latest maps. :-)

http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/data/sst/a....11.5.2009.gif


Nearest match 2002.
http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/data/sst/a...11.11.2002.gif
and 2004
http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/data/sst/a...11.11.2006.gif


--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net