Thread: ENSO update
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Old November 5th 09, 06:59 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Keith(Southend) Keith(Southend) is offline
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Default ENSO update

Will Hand wrote:

"Keith(Southend)" wrote in message
...
Graham P Davis wrote:
Will Hand wrote:

Oh here we go, the first "winter is written off post before it has even
started" :-)

Not the first; I wrote it off here about a couple of months ago. ;-)

Mind you, that was based on the SST anomaly at the time and I warned
that there was plenty of time for it to change. A week ago I'd
probably have stuck to a mild, westerly type of winter but the latest
SST picture has an interesting development of a cold pool at 40N 40W.
If this were to grow, the odds against a cold winter could tumble.


The cold pool seem to be getting colder looking at the latest maps. :-)

http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/data/sst/a....11.5.2009.gif


Calm down now Keith, it's not good to get too excited at your age :-)

Will


Big 5 0 in January Will, frightening thought :-)

--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net