On Nov 6, 9:22 am, Weatherlawyer wrote:
On Nov 5, 5:45 pm, "Keith(Southend)"
wrote:
http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/data/sst/a....11.5.2009.gif
Nearest match 2002.http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/data/sst/a...11.11.2002.gif
and 2004http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/data/sst/anomaly/2006/anomnight.11.11..2006.gif
Not sure I understand the red patches in the Arctic.
Or have I greatly misunderstood concerns about ice melt?
Do you understand it now?
Update from the Australian BOM. 11/11/09
"In brief
The tropical Pacific Ocean sea surface has continued to warm in
central and eastern areas, with a typical El Niņo pattern clearly
present. The central Pacific has now warmed to a level that has not
been observed since the 2002 El Niņo.
The sub-surface water of the tropical Pacific has also continued to
warm, with temperatures as much as 6°C above normal in some regions.
The latest approximate 30-day SOI value is -15; the monthly value for
October was also -15. The SOI has recently stabilised after a rapid
fall in value through October.
Following a sustained weakening of the Trade Winds during October, a
pulse of average or stronger than average Trades is developing in the
western Pacific.
Cloudiness near the date-line has been slightly below average in
recent weeks. However, cloudiness to the west of the date-line has
been consistently above average, as also occurred during the 2006 El
Niņo and to a lesser extent in the 2002 event.
Most leading international computer models surveyed by the Bureau
predict that El Niņo conditions will persist throughout the southern
hemisphere summer."
Warmer than was being predicted a couple of months ago, although some
models have been recently showing a sharp rise in temp in November,
which has happened.