"Richard Dixon" wrote in message
...
Despite not indicating a flood event in his forecast - and despite the
superb, bang-on forecast from the Met Office - this little snippet
gives you a view to just how delusional he is - note that the reason
why the North Sea storm surge didn't occur is the reason why the
Cumbria event happened ! The last sentence is a piece of wonderful
waffle.

Richard

• “The severity and timing of extreme events over Britain, Ireland, NW
Europe and the world was excellent.
• “Standard Meteorology consistently underestimated the severity of
events even 12 hours ahead as we warned they would. This has caused
unnecessary suffering and loss.

What rubbish.
The Met Office forecast, complete with red warnings was excellent.
It talked of rainfall totals 'in excess of 250mm' in upland areas.
As we all know, that happened.
From looking at the time the 'code red' thread was started on this
ng (13.52 18/11) we can infer that the warning was issued around
midday on that day.
Yet here are the Seathwaite totals (also from this group)

16th/17th 09-09 38.6
17th/18th 09-09 60.8
18th/19th 09-09 142.6
19th/20th 09-09 246.6

So as we can see, considerably more warning than 12hrs for
the exceptional rainfall, more like 48hrs.

• “A lot of our detailed forecast statements were confirmed but the
50/50 possibility of storm-surge tidal floods in the N Sea did not
happen. The reason is also why Cumbria was devastated by floods; and
appears connected to why some other events around the world stopped or
developed differently from expected.

LOL!
How can a 50/50 probability forecast of something happen or
not happen?
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl