On Nov 27, 7:50*pm, "Col" wrote:
Len Wood wrote:
On Nov 27, 11:31 am, Howard Neil wrote:
Martin Rowley wrote:
http://www.metoffice.com/weather/seasonal/2009/winter/

Martin.

It seems they have taken up spread betting.

--
Howard Neil

Gordon Bennett! Jo Public is going to love trying to intepret that.
50% chance of it being milder. In other words it might or might not
be.
Or that's how the tabloids will intepret it.
As regards precipitation, hedging bets here.

This could be seen as covering all bases, but I think it's just
being realistic regarding what is currently possible in seasonal
forecasting.
A seasonal forecast can't be made along the lines that the
weather *will* do this, that or the other.
Rather, it has to be evaluated and presented in terms of
probabilities. And if there is no strong signal of any definate
weather pattern then so be it.
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl

Yes, but when they say there is a 50% chance it will be mild and 50%
that it will be cool then any fool could of come up with that!

Cheers, Alastair.

http://www.complexclimate.org