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Old December 7th 09, 07:59 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Alan Alan is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jan 2005
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Default Atlantic looking very blocked with latest GFS

On 7 Dec, 19:35, "comp.john" wrote:
On 2009-12-07, John Hall wrote:



The 12:00 ECMWF run is now out. The operational run wants to direct the
coldest air from NE to SW just to the east and south of us, but as
that's at days 9 and 10 it might easily change.


How does 850mb temp correspond with surface temp at this time of year?
is -5 @ 850mb 0C at the surface?
--
comp.john


One of the experts on here will probably give you a much better
answers, but assuming no temperature inversion, typically -5 @ 850mb
would equate to about +4 degrees at sea level, for air which has come
of the ocean. If the air comes direct from the continent then things
are more complex, there’s likely to be an inversion this time of year,
but if the air is bone dry, in theory it could be as high as +10C, but
highly unlikey.