On Dec 10, 3:53*pm, "Jon O'Rourke" wrote:
"Dawlish" wrote in message

...

Really interesting, TY, but nothing about accuracy at 10 days, which
is disappointing, from a personal perspective.

Well, there's at least a graph in the performance section towards the end
which details the Ensemble Prediction System's performance out to day 15
compared to "other models".
Jon.

Thanks Jon, I'd read the info at the side and missed the extent of the
scale on the bottom. There is at least that graph, which appears to
show an RPSS of 0.16. Not surprisingly, such a low RPSS (ranked
probability skill score) at 10 days would back what I've been saying
about the lack of accuracy in 10-day (+) forecasting very well. I'm
hopeful that the RPSS for 10-day forecasts will increase in the future!