http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20091210b.html

The Hadley centre are forecasting record global temperatures next
year.

I think along very similar lines and I've been writing as such since
the start of this El Nino. *If* this El Nino continues through to the
Boreal summer, 2010 may well be the warmest year on record, beating
1998. The effects are already being seen in the global temperatures
from June 2009. The 12 month period from June 2009 - May 2010 may well
end up the warmest 12-month period on record - it is already well on
the way - and this warmth may well continue to the end of 2010 *if*
the El Nino continues.

Ifs and buts, I know and they are reflected in the Hadley Centre's
written forecast. This forecast of +0.60C above the 1961-90 average
would leave 2010 global temperatures really quite hugely above
1998/2005 (At 0.08C it doesn't sound "hugely above", but that kind of
value would erase the 1998 record by some distance) and it is an
extreme forecast. To forecast record global temperatures with an
extended solar minimum is a fair old leap in the dark. A real stick-
your-head-over-the-parapet forecast, with, if you are a sceptic, every
chance of going wrong. In fact, from a sceptics view, surely this
should not happen? I'm sure the "can't trust anything they say"
rubbish will flow swiftly, as will comparisons to the MetOs only
reasonable seasonal forecasting which are simply not valid.

At present, I agree with what they are saying - but it does depend on
the persistence of this El Nino event.