In article ,
Will Hand writes:
Leave the bitterness to the weather, I am.
Paul, there is nothing I have seen in models today that would make that
wrong, good luck to you!
My only concern is that the forecast may not have been snowy or cold
enough!!! Just my opinion of course.

I note that Paul Bartlett (an extremely experienced forecaster) agrees
with you too.
snip

Since PB tends to be extremely conservative in his forecasts, I view
that as highly significant.
--
John Hall "[It was] so steep that at intervals the street broke into steps,
like a person breaking into giggles or hiccups, and then resumed
its sober climb, until it had another fit of steps."
Ursula K Le Guin "The Beginning Place"