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Old December 12th 09, 03:44 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Keith(Southend) Keith(Southend) is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Sep 2008
Posts: 652
Default The coming snow event / twists and turns ?

I shouldn't really look at just one 06hr gfs run, but my snow day now
seems to be down to one day, thursday :-(
http://www.wzkarten.de/pics/Rtavn1203.png
UKMO appear to me to be the less keen of the lot for this cold to come
in, although we don't see that far ahead, am I right what I say here?

Not quite sure what those wallowing lows and highs are going to do over
the weekend? Although sub 510DAM over Germany :-)
http://www.wzkarten.de/pics/Rtavn1683.png
Thicknesses look very promising on this slide.
ECMWF seem to be less enthusiastic with the thickness's

Then that low with low thicknesses on Sunday onwards, looks fine, but I
bet it will be rain at low levels with our wind from the west or southwest.
I hope I'm wrong but....

Christmas, still in never never land, but gfs wants to be a humbug,
turning things mild on Christmas Eve. I'm hoping this model is just
trying to revert to the norm, as has been indicated on here, we're in
the cold beyond Christmas
http://www.wzkarten.de/pics/Rtavn2883.png

All in all, anything could happen, some days could be quite borderline
with rain/sleet & snow at times, unless you're away from the coast
or/and up a few metres.

Snowy thoughts :-)
--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net