"Dawlish" wrote in message
...
.......time slip!

Thursday is beginning to look extremely interesting. Something Will
talked about some time ago and he'll be able to give more on the
dynamics that I can. If he's got any sense he'll be walking the moors
on such a day as this.

Both the gfs and the ECM have a low moving southwards through the
North Sea on Wed/Thurs. Ahead of it, precipitation may well be rain,
though the fax charts show a series of disturbances running down the
eastern side of Britain from Tuesday onwards which are likely to
produce some lowland wintriness and hill snow from time to time
through the week. Thursday however, could hold a key to some heavier
snow on the back edge of that low as colder air is dragged in from the
continent and down from above, with a distribution which may include
areas further to the west, as well as the east, if the ECM is to be
believed.

An area of convergence through the English Channel tonight and sub 528
dam air may produce some sleety stuff in Kent, but it could be just
cold rain. Lamp post watch for that one!

Certainly interesting times, Paul!

The overall pattern seems to be set but specifics hard to nail down at
anything more than T+24.
My work colleagues have been asking me about the possibility of snow - my
reply has been along the lines that the basic building blocks are in place,
but detail hard to nail down much in advance.
Personally, down here I'm not expecting much (December 81 didnt really
produce much more than a patchy covering of snow, some very cold nights and
a messy breakdown on this very day that month, then mild till early Jan 82)
but you never know!

Jim, Bournemouth

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Bournemouth Weather readings online: http://www.g0ofe.com/weather