View Single Post
  #2   Report Post  
Old October 16th 04, 11:37 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
Lawrence Lawrence is offline
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jun 2004
Posts: 223
Default Metcheck (the facts)

I know when Metcheck first burst onto the vista they made the same sort of
headlining "coldest winter ever" statement. Weather Action did the same
thing in Autumn 1980 I still have the article from the Daily Telegraph. The
truth is it's all nonsense really isn't it.

I will give credit though to Metcheck and The Weather Outlook for
stimulating interest n the weather. They both run very nice informative
sites. I'm just a little disappointed in the fact that this totally
unverifiable prediction has gone like wildfire around what should more
critical news sources.
Why only yesterday in the wake of this ridiculous forecast the Daily Mirror
ran a motoring article titled
"Don't be caught out as the big freeze heads our way"

The article opens by saying
"The big freeze is coming.Forecasters warned this week we face one of the
bitterest winters in years"
It then proceeds to advise the standard winter car check ups and finishes
up imploring that we fill our cars with mars bars!

All of this based on Andrew's outrageous claims (there's been many) which
have never yet come to fruition.

Sorry Andrew. Good luck to you though.






"Will" wrote in message
...

================================================== ==================
This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author.
Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do.
================================================== ==================

OK now that all the hype has died down a bit thought I'd present a few
facts as
I see them.

Firstly any credit or discredit should go to the organization that
actually
provided the model runs that gave the meteorology on which Andrew Bond
produced
his winter forecast. NOAA from the USA.

NOAA provide the 100 day (just over 3 months forecast) on which that
winter
forecast was based. It is NOAA who are providing the runs that are
"diverging"
in January as Andrew Bond mentioned in his January section. Note that the
forecast does not extend into February as it is out of the 100 day range
of the
NOAA 100 day GFS product.

Also other outputs from Andrew Bond's site are based on GFS from NOAA so
NOAA
should take any credit for the meteorology.

All and full credit to Andrew for the presentation but I would like to see
acknowledgement of sources. I will be pursuing this issue further
*personally*
and "offline".

Will.
--

" A cup is most useful when empty "
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

mailto:
www:
http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk

DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------