In message , "Keith(Southend)"
writes
Scott W wrote:
On 29 Dec, 17:37, "Keith(Southend)" wrote:
12z run does seem to push the low a little further south introducing a
more definite north easterly across the SE, the small deepish low off SW
Ireland has never looked right to me, but GFS has been hinting this for
a couple of days now. Apart from the 1st to the 3rd the old Thickness is
still looking a bit marginal for my liking. Awaiting the ECMWF 12z run.
--
Keith (Southend)http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net
Last night's 18Z run seemed to hint that the cold air will never be
far away out to the end of the run. Given experience of these
situations I wonder how many on here would agree that whatever happens
we are looking at at least two weeks of notably cold weather with
frequent snowfall.

GFS seems quite keen on a big anticyclone on it's later days, which
appears to me could still be quite cold for the east in those SE winds,
but again anythings up for grabs at that range atm.

Towards the end of the week GFS is looking to put temperatures very low
over the northern Germany and the Alps. I wonder whether this is GFS
being its usual self? If it's going to turn out as per the run then the
easterlies and north-easterlies are going to be very "interesting".
--
Tim