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Old January 2nd 10, 05:15 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Will Hand Will Hand is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Nov 2004
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Default 2 weeks of snow cover Aberfeldy


"Alex Stephens Jr" wrote in message
...
"Will Hand" wrote in message
...

This is becoming quite a winter in Scotland and parts of northern
England!
As I said a few days ago this winter is going to be so memorable, even in
the south of England - in a few days time.

Thanks for all your reports, keep 'em comin, I'm envious of your
conditions but my turn will come, it always does.

Will (Haytor, Devon, 1017 feet asl)
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Not that I want it too Will, but where or when will it end?


To be honest I don't know. But, ... I do know that a pattern like this
establishing itself at the beginning of January will take some shifting. The
main polar jet is still meandering well south, almost at unprecedented
latitudes. The seas round us are cooling all the time, so if it lasts till
end of January then February is likely to be cold too and then with even
cooler seas it could mean a cold early Spring as well.

With the models running with very cold conditions for at least another 10
days, 4 weeks of lying snow seems a near certainty - I have no idea the
last time that happened in the central lowlands... February 1947 or
January 1940 perhaps? And who knows how the second half of January and
February could turn out....
Dare I say it, but it could potentially be the coldest and snowiest winter
here in anyone's lifetime. 78/79 was probably the coldest/snowiest
(+0.5ºC) in my lifetime and even with average temperatures from Mid
January onwards this winter will rival it. Currently -0.2ºC for December
and the first 2 days of January.


That's right even the warmer ensemble members only indicate a return to
normal values and not mild.

And currently 11 inches of snow in the untrampled parts of the back
garden.

And your time will come, you know better than most.


Maybe :-)

Will
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