In article
,
Dawlish writes:
The gfs 00z ens are the latest I can find. They show the 00z
operational run, which had the first hints of milder air, as being a
marked warm outlier at T240+ and pretty well unsupported at T240
itself; probably what you'd have expected 12 hours ago, and if the
mild air had now disappeared I wouldn't be talking about
possibilities, but we are now 2 runs on and the gfs is sticking to its
guns. Anyone got a link to the 06z, or the 12z gfs ens? Was the op run
a warm outlier on both?

http://91.121.93.17/pics/MT8_London_ens.pn

Note that for some reason that graph hasn't been updated for over 24
hours and is still showing 00Z for the 5th, not for the 6th.
--
John Hall
"Acting is merely the art of keeping a large group of people
from coughing."
Sir Ralph Richardson (1902-83)