View Single Post
  #2   Report Post  
Old January 20th 10, 08:21 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
Dawlish Dawlish is offline
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Mar 2008
Posts: 10,601
Default Fish on the UKMO, long range & the Beeb

On Jan 19, 9:53*pm, "Les Hemmings" wrote:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisf...r-weather-frie...


Interesting Les. I feel very much the same way as Mr. Fish. The MetO
is the best solution for shorter-term forecasting for the UK and LRF
is in its infancy. It is those who criticise the MetO for its long-
range forecasts and laud the forecasts of others, whose outcomes are
*even worse*, that don't know what they are talking about. LRF is a
very inexact science. To confuse that with shorter-range forecasting
and lump the two together in general criticism shows a complete lack
of understanding IMO, but there are always some who will. They often
have their own agendae there. The dog's breakfast that is the severe
weather warnings site is mainly poor presentation, not poor
forecasting.

Interesting that Michael Fish doesn't go with the current vogue (hope?
need? longing? desperation?) for a continuing cold winter - but....
"there's a guy works down the chip shop swears he's Elvis.....but he's
a liar and I'm not sure about Fish"........or Corbyn.......or
*******i......or the coldie-Internet-winter-forecasting brigade, or
others!

That cynicism, of course is based on a rock-solid foundation. No long
term outcome forecasting success: no use........yet. I'd back the MetO
against any of them.