Will Hand wrote:

"Terry Tibbs" wrote in message
...
cold gone.
sucker gap wider

will?

The ECM is going a tad wild recently with deep low developments popping
up all over the place all depending on how the upper trough in the
western atlantic disrupts. Trough disruption there should tend to build
a Scandi high under normal circumstances, perhaps that's where the
problem lies, the usual difficult trough disruption process. The most
consistent model of late has been UKMO but you only see that to T+144.
That model is basically going for an anticyclonic easterly. A lot of dry
weather but snow showers in east and south. I'm sticking with that for
the time being as it is the simplest and what one would predict from
first principles without models to confuse us.

No sucking from me :-)

Will

GFS has been quite consistent with an easterly as well. Strange how ALL
models have their good and bad points / weather favourites.

--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net