"Keith(Southend)" wrote in message
...
Gfs seems to be consistently not keen on cold weather in it's runs lately.
I know Will's mentioned it's gone off the rails a little, but I just
wonder whether it *may* turn out to be right?
I shall have to turn to another model to get my fix!
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Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
e-mail: kreh at southendweather dot net
Keith, and others. The runs just don't look realistic as well as being out
on a limb. I mentioned several weeks ago that I felt it's handling of lows
on occasion was weird, some of the isobars in that 12Z run look shaky and
too wobbly it's almost as if there are numerical instabilities present in
the calculations. Sometimes its OK, but recently it has been unrealistic.
The 12Z GFS OP run is once again a warm outlier.
UKMO has been pretty good of late!
Will
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