In article
,
Dawlish writes:
snip
The CET will continue to recover
to the end of the month (Philip has -3.6C to the 22nd)

Just to clarify for any readers who might be confused, I think that is
the size of the anomaly rather than the actual mean temperature.

Can't disagree with your forecast, though the ECM operational run is
hinting at the possibility of another northerly setting in just after
the end of its run. (And as I've mentioned elsewhere, the 12Z GFS
ensemble is tantalisingly hinting at the possibility of something cold
beginning some 14 days out.)
--
John Hall
"Acting is merely the art of keeping a large group of people
from coughing."
Sir Ralph Richardson (1902-83)