"John Hall" wrote in message
...
In article
,
Dawlish writes:
snip
The CET will continue to recover
to the end of the month (Philip has -3.6C to the 22nd)

Just to clarify for any readers who might be confused, I think that is
the size of the anomaly rather than the actual mean temperature.

Can't disagree with your forecast, though the ECM operational run is
hinting at the possibility of another northerly setting in just after
the end of its run. (And as I've mentioned elsewhere, the 12Z GFS
ensemble is tantalisingly hinting at the possibility of something cold
beginning some 14 days out.)
--

UKMO the most consistent model so far seems reluctant to sink the high south
and indeed at T+144 on 29th Jan has 520 DAM air advecting SSW into eastern
England raising the possibility of widespread lowland snow in the east.

That ECM run looks to be in transition with its twin vortices west and east
of Greenland. Possibly the beginnings of a northern block?

Will
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