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Old January 28th 10, 07:47 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Graham P Davis Graham P Davis is offline
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Default Second week February; GFES ensemble forecast temperatures

On Thursday 28 Jan 2010 17:33, Dawlish scribbled:

On Jan 28, 5:17 pm, Graham P Davis wrote:
On Thursday 28 Jan 2010 12:20, Martin Rowley scribbled:





... For the last two months, I've been verifying the GFES ensemble
extremes output available he-
http://www.met.rdg.ac.uk/~brugge/forecast/
[ I'll be doing a full analysis sometime late February and posting it
to Roger so he can review and publish as he sees fit.]


Today's issue has the following minimum & maximum values for Heathrow
for the 9th to 12th February inclusive:-


MIN(18-06Z): -4, -5, -5, -6


MAX(06-18Z): 0, 0, -1, -1


For Hurn, same period


MIN: -6, -6, -7, -6


MAX: 0, 0, -1, 0.


For such low daytime maxima, the model must think there is a bit of
snow on the ground!


The thickness being below 510 over most of Britain on the 12th might help
also help a bit. ;-)


Is that the 12th of February, or the 12th of never Graham? It is *15*
days away!


Thank you, Johnny Mathis. ;-)

--
Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks., UK. E-mail: newsman not newsboy
"I wear the cheese. It does not wear me."