On 29 Jan, 23:01, "Dave Cornwell"
wrote:
Well we've had endless operational runs like this one, this winter. None
have even vaguely happened in the predicted way although of course some have
led to cold spells. The usual pattern is first of all it will be a very cold
outlier in the already confused portion of *the Ensembles. Then it will
either flip to the opposite with the actual outcome being some rough
consensus of all the models. This will be interesting with the UKMO showing
SW'lies.
Sigh.
Dave

Indeed, Dave. I think it is nearly a week now that the models have
been hinting at a sub-zero spell - but it is always 6 to 9 days away.
These models dither more than politicians.