In article
,
Dawlish writes:
There's some agreement this morning John; both the gfs and the ECM now
agree on us *not* having easterlies at 10 days!! shakes head

snip

In years of Internet model watching and a dreadful case of OCD in
monitoring them ( *)) ), I think I can confidently say that I've
never seen such a level of inconsistency, from all the major models,
over a 4-day period. That's why 10-day forecasting is *so* difficult
and is simply not possible, with reasonable accuracy, most of the
time.

Yep. The only model out of the three I monitor not to have done a volte
face between yesterday's 12Z run and today 00Z in the UKMO, which still
brings in an easterly this weekend.
--
John Hall
"Acting is merely the art of keeping a large group of people
from coughing."
Sir Ralph Richardson (1902-83)