On Feb 2, 5:42*pm, "Dave Cornwell"
wrote:

After last week's flip from severe cold to mild which has turned out to be
correct, I would give it an even chance of showing the cold scenario in a
week's time, but not before. A week at a time is the only believable time
frame.
Dave

Most of the time Dave, I agree with you. Forecasting at 10 days is
still beyond us most of the time. It's recognising the few occasions
where the models *are* predicting the actual outcome which is the key!
*))

PS I think evens cold at 7 days is very poor odds!