Will Hand wrote:

"MOLE" wrote in message
...
Good luck with your forecast of the severe Blizzard Will,problem is if
you get it wrong your credibility as a top forecaster will fall as low
as the moderators on a certain weather forum.You know who you are.


LOL

Certainly looks like the models are now going for it to turn much very
much colder as we head into the middle of next week and beyond.


Indeed.

Guys thanks for all the comments, I'm glad you take my views for what
they are. However, I would be upset if it went totally awry because I do
think that I have *some* ability to spot the *potential* for severe
weather in the UK.

I haven't changed my mind on the forecast this morning. I have already
explained that mass ascent is to take place in cold air (forecast
dewpoints are low with sub-zero in places all around the low), that is a
scenario for a widespread snow. Thicknesses are still around 528DAM in
the south mid-week turning colder later. Light precip in the south will
be rain but moderate or heavy bursts will readily turn that to snow.
From the Midlands northwards snow is more certain and on all ground
above 200m asl nationwide. What more can I say at this stage, there are
big uncertainties regarding distribution of precip. and we will have to
wait for high res. models for that.


My office is about 180m asl in the North Downs so am hoping for some
lying snow at work, if not at home.