In article
,
Nick writes:
Looking ahead a bit, would anyone like to make any vague predictions
for spring?

I say that as there seems to be a slight correlation between winter
weather and that of the following spring, at least since 1979. In the
years which had distinctly colder than average winters, and which the
cold continued into the 2nd half of February (so1982, 1991 or 1997 =
no, as they all turned mild either mid February or before, but 1979,
1985, 1986, 1987 and 1996 = yes) there seems to be a tendency for
spring also to have more cold spells than normal, and worryingly
perhaps, for some of those, the summer to be poor as well (all but
1996). Another tendency is that following easterly Februaries (1981,
83, 86) March then tends to be very westerly, ironically perhaps,
after a blocked February - I guess the jet moves north.

Is there a real scientific reason for any of these links, i.e. are we
looking at facing a cold spring and poor summer, or is this just
coincidence?

Nick

One thing that could be a factor is sea temperatures. The North Sea,
Irish Sea and Channel must be colder than usual, and will take some time
to warm up. That could make a cold spring more likely.
--
John Hall
"Acting is merely the art of keeping a large group of people
from coughing."
Sir Ralph Richardson (1902-83)