View Single Post
  #11   Report Post  
Old February 24th 10, 06:59 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Dawlish Dawlish is offline
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Mar 2008
Posts: 10,601
Default January global temperatures: UAH measured a record for the month.

On Feb 18, 8:39*am, Dawlish wrote:
On Feb 14, 8:42*pm, Dawlish wrote:





On Feb 5, 12:53*pm, Dawlish wrote:


On Feb 5, 10:39*am, John Hall wrote:


In article
,


*Dawlish writes:
The first satellite measure, Roy Spencer's UAH dataset, is out.
January was easily the warmest January in his 31-year satellite
sequence at +0.72C, A record month by the wide margin of 1.3C:


http://vortex.nsstc.uah.edu/data/msu/t2lt/uahncdc.lt


How that would be quite something, but I imagine that the margin was
meant to read 0,13C. Looking at the page you linked to, it only seems to
go up to December, 2009. Maybe the author noticed an error and has
deleted January, 2010 while he corrects the mistake?
--
John Hall
* * * * * *"Acting is merely the art of keeping a large group of people
* * * * * * from coughing."
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Sir Ralph Richardson (1902-83)


Sorry John. Thought I'd posted this. Yes, of course. 0.13!! My first
link only goes to Dec 2009, but my second leads you to the "Home/Blog..
Click on that for his analysis.


RSS is also out today at +0.64C. Again, quite easily the warmest
January in the RSS satellite series.


We'll have to wait for mid-month to see whether the ground-based
surface temperature series agree. I suspect they will. January was a
record-breaking month according to the two satellite measures, despite
the cold over Western Europe and the NE of the USA.


February has started similarly warm, but to be record-breaking would
be unlikely IMO, as the figures from Feb (and for the next few months)
are competing with the super El Nino year of 1998. That's what makes
these temperatures so interesting ATM. We have a moderate El Nino; not
as strong as the 1998 one which produced the record (Hadley) of near
record (GISS) global temperatures. The peak temperatures of that El
Nino were in the first half of 1998. If the first half of 2010
approaches those values, it will be easily the warmest 12 month period
on record (June-June, in tis case). If those values are exceeded, then
2010 could be the warmest year on record.


http://discover.itsc.uah.edu/amsutem...?amsutemps+001


(Hover to the bottom left for "near surface layer and play about
including various years. It would be good to have 1998 in that, but
sadly, it's not there)


In a solar minimum and with a negative PDO, what would most scientists
think about the implications of that and the major cause of global
warming? It hasn't happened yet, of course, but it is thinking about
those figures that are behind the MetO/Hadley prediction that 2010
will be the warmest year on record. A moderate El Nino, plus continued
GW since 1998 should produce somewhere near record-breaking world
global temperatures. Like I say, we'll see.


Outcome temperatures are the only measure of GW................I think
I may have repeated myself there! *))- Hide quoted text -


- Show quoted text -


NOAA January figures have sneaked out on a Sunday!


4th warmest January in their 130-year series. Southern hemisphere land
areas were the warmest on record and were warmer than those of the
Northern hemisphere. The world's oceans were very warm; ocean
temperatures in January were only beaten by the super El Nino January
ocean temperatures of 1998.


http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/?repor...&submit...Hide quoted text -


- Show quoted text -


GISS figures out: +0.71C The 2nd= warmest January in their 130 year
sequence. The 2 satellite datasets put January as the warmest on
record, AA has it as 4th warmest and GISS 2nd=. It was a very warm
month.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


January's global temperature measures are completed by Hadley - last,
but earlier than usual, it has to be said!

January came out at +0.47C, 4th warmest in their 160-year series.