"Dawlish" wrote in message
...
On Feb 27, 1:58 pm, "Will Hand" wrote:
"Simon S" wrote in message

...
On 27 Feb, 13:07, "Les Hemmings" wrote:

Natsman wrote:
Looks like we're in for a battering during another stormy night in
France - on the face of it, probably worse than Thursday night. We
have orange vigilance warnings for much of the country - expecting the
worst around 02:00 Sunday morning.

CK

Getting the same kind of thoughts here in Folkestone...

Would I be correct in thinking the track if forecast to be a little
further north than was expected?

Simon S (South Yorkshire)
==================

Latest sat pics indicate west-east elongation well underway with T-bone
cold
front weakening.
Even patch of drier air behind cold front now as cold air conveyor
descends
behind the deepening centre. Seclusion process well underway with
cirrostratus now invading the sky rapidly here in Devon.
The low may well end up more elongated than expected earlier but main
centre
with strongest winds still looks in line for passing somewhere near
Channel
Islands and then quickly NE to Dover Straits. Heavy rain might end up
further north and west. Cold air tuck behind it will turn the precip.
wintry
on its western edge with a spell of wet snow possible over high ground.

Will
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Fascinating. Keep up the commentary Will, I'm sure a lot, like me, are
learning from it.

Driving rain and E to NE gales will prove a test for my recent
paintwork and rendering- which I think will be OK, but I'm not sure
how my occasionally leaky roof will cope. Fingers crossed!
===============

1600 imagery shows a very elongated system now. In my experience KS cyclones
sometimes slow down at this stage. Centre is in Biscay ATM with a curl of
strong winds about to slam into Brittany. The T of the T-bone is way ahead
east almost into Normandy now. It looks on track as far as I can tell but I
still fancy the rain to be extending further west and possibly quicker into
the SE due to the elongation. My only concern is that the SW side of the low
seems to be slowing which may be a sign that the gradient is tightening
more, hurricane force? We should be safe in Britain but northern France is
right in the firing line for some massive gusts.

Will
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