"Col" wrote in message
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"Lawrence Jenkins" wrote in message
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"Col" wrote in message


And?
He can only report what he thinks is likely to happen,
and if what he thinks is likely to happen is similar to
long term trends, then so be it.
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Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl


No Col I was being charitable the way he (dawlish ) sticks his neck out
and to hell with it, even if the odds are in his favour, he nails his
colours to the mast. Been a trait of his all winter. I paticular like his
long range prediction that there could be some rain in the UK during the
winter months.

Well, yes indeed.
And he is quite open and honest about it with the 75% confidence
level to forecast at 10 days.
Presumably he considers anything lower than that wold merely be
'guesswork' and he'd get as many forescasts right as wrong, so
what would be the point?
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl


The point is Col he tries to masquerade as some sort of amateur
meteorologist. He talks reams of cut and paste bull**** hoping it will
baffle brains. Yet all he does is hunt around the latest overall feel of
the model output which we can all do but would frankly feel too embarrassed
to attempt. Of course a seasoned meteorologist will stick to their guns
despite the model flip flopping.