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Old March 14th 10, 04:54 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
Weatherlawyer Weatherlawyer is offline
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Default Winter in context - help me decide

On 14 Mar, 04:05, Jim Kewley wrote:
In message , Lawrence
Jenkins writes



Is 'straw man' the new buzz term just like anthropogenic global warming once
was? please let me know as I'm so out of touch with fashion.


Ah the group idiot resurfaces.


Ad hominem attacks to a troll?
Snipped.

The question's answer does poke up a formal list of...
Well, he
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_fallacies

Personally the one about a solution fitting most conditions IS the
most likely if it works. (Conjunction Fallacy.)

To answer the OP.
The problem with all tenure about the recent weather is compounded by
needing answers that are not required: Base rate fallacy

The noble art of using weak evidence to make a probability judgement
without taking into account known empirical statistics about the
probability.

Climate and weather prediction is all about probability whereas
nomenclature about times past isn't.

Or not, as the case might be.