On 14 Mar, 04:05, Jim Kewley wrote:
In message , Lawrence
Jenkins writes
Is 'straw man' the new buzz term just like anthropogenic global warming once
was? please let me know as I'm so out of touch with fashion.
Ah the group idiot resurfaces.
Ad hominem attacks to a troll?
Snipped.
The question's answer does poke up a formal list of...
Well, he
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_fallacies
Personally the one about a solution fitting most conditions IS the
most likely if it works. (Conjunction Fallacy.)
To answer the OP.
The problem with all tenure about the recent weather is compounded by
needing answers that are not required: Base rate fallacy
The noble art of using weak evidence to make a probability judgement
without taking into account known empirical statistics about the
probability.
Climate and weather prediction is all about probability whereas
nomenclature about times past isn't.
Or not, as the case might be.