On 18/03/10 11:51, ronaldbutton wrote:
I see Joe is attempting to analyse the reasons for the recent winters
events ,a lot of which is characteristically inpenetrable.
I wonder whether Will would like to summarise the lead up and subsequent
developments of this unusually blocked scenario in English. he was the first
to pick up on how things were shaping up on this side of the pond in
November,based on events occuring around the polar regions though I doubt
whether he factored in polar volcanoes !.
I know the sceptics on here,say it is impossible to forecast more than a few
days ahead ,which of course is true with great accuracy ,but both Joe and
Will did point up some interesting trends way ahead of the actual events, so
there must be some merit in exploring their thinking and methodology
(American word)

http://www.accuweather.com/ukie/bast...er=accuweather

RonB



I still stick to the change in North Atlantic SST anomalies towards the
end of November. I warned then that if the cold pool to the south of the
Grand Banks continued to intensify we could be in for a cold, easterly
winter. Towards the end of November, the forecast pressure pattern from
Netweather derived from SST anomalies also made the same prediction,
including a southward shift of the jet stream. This science has worked
for over forty years so why bother inventing some other cause?

--
Graham P Davis, Bracknell, Berks., UK. E-mail: newsman not newsboy
"I wear the cheese. It does not wear me."