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Keith Dancey · November 9th 04, 12:57 PM posted to uk.sci.weather

In article , (Adrian D. Shaw) writes:
Felly sgrifennodd Keith Dancey :

Because of my job I get to hear, first hand, from the scientists who advise
Governments. One piece of information being placed before politicians is
that global oil production will peak by 2020.

I've just gone hunting for my New Scientist, but failed to find it so
this is from memory, but there was an article in there this week (or last
- I'm not quite sure) which said we had enough fossil oil for 70 years yet,
and that we've only extracted about a third of what is economically viable.

As I said, this is from memory, but I think I remembered it right.

Sorry I haven't read that, but be aware that there is a huge amount of
misinformation being banded about known oil reserves. The crisis which
hit Shell earlier this year (they were exposed as having exagerated their
known reserves, and NOT by New Scientist! but by an "insider" with a
conscience) is just the tip of the iceberg.

As the crisis deepens (ever-increasing demand exceeding supply, which itself
begins to fall away, making matters rapidly worse) poor quality supplies
will have to be tapped, driving up the price in a most dramatic fashion.

If this is the case, it's not good news for global warming.

The outlook for Global Warming is quite dreadful, anyway:-(

No Cheers,

keith

---
Iraq: 6 thousand million pounds, 70 UK lives, and counting...
100,000+ civilian casualties, largely of coalition bombing...