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Old August 25th 10, 08:16 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
Teignmouth Teignmouth is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jun 2010
Posts: 500
Default Unignorable. Forecast of warm and generally settled weather.Southerlies at T240 on 3rd Sept.

The problem is if Dawlish only forecasts when all the models agree at
T240 (which is very rarely), what happens all the other times?

I’m off to Manchester on 4th September to watch Muse play in an open
air arena at Lanchashire Country Cricket Ground, I need to know
whether I need to purchase a full on Sou’wester, a pac-a-mac, shorts &
Tshirt or sun cream?

It’s no good saying, I can’t provide you with a forecast today because
the models don’t agree.

I can also look at the models and make a judgement of my own, even if
the models don’t agree I would have a go at forecasting and, I’m
dismissing the current model output and going for cool (15-17c) with a
NW breeze & showers.