I've twice tried to post this under Joe's hinting of another cool
winter for Europe thread, but for some reason it's not appearing, so
here goes again.

Looking at the Met Office Ensemble-mean maps for Dec/Jan/Feb, they are
forecasting temperatures between 1°C & 1.5°C above average.
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/science/.../ens_mean.html

And looking at their European long-range probability maps for the
same period they are forecasting the following probability;
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/science/...seas_prob.html

Temperatures above average 60-80% confidence
Temperatures average 20-40% confidence
Temperatures below average less than 20% confidence.

So on both counts the Met Office are forecasting a Mild Winter.

Will they have Egg on their Faces 2 years in a row?