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Old October 7th 10, 08:24 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Teignmouth Teignmouth is offline
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Default Joe hinting of another cool winter for Europe

On 6 Oct, 20:08, John Hall wrote:
In article ,
*Jon O'Rourke writes:"Yokel" wrote in message news:hYednf-

The Met Office might have "hidden" their forecast, but it is still
there *in the public domain if you know where to look and have some
knowledge to *interpret it.


It does take a bit of drilling down to find but it's far from hidden
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/science/...list/seasonal/


I maintain a link to it from herehttp://www.metbrief.com/obs.html
and recently added a link to the NCEP/CFS seasonal output.


Jon.


From the wording "Our long-range outlooks as a World Meteorological
Organization (WMO) Global Producing Centre (GPC)", it sounds as though
the Met Office has a commitment to the WMO to continue producing these
forecasts, so that there was never any possibility that they would
cease.
--
John Hall
* * * * * * * *"I look upon it, that he who does not mind his belly,
* * * * * * * * will hardly mind anything else."
* * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *Dr Samuel Johnson (1709-84)


Reading the Met Office Ensemble-mean maps for Dec/Jan/Feb they are
forecasting that Western Europe temperatures will be between 1°C &
1.5°C above normal (a mild winter)
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/science/.../ens_mean.html

And looking at the European long-range probability maps for the same
period they are forecasting the following.
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/science/...seas_prob.html

Temp above normal 60-80% confidence
Temp average 20-40% confidence
Temp below average less than 20% confidence

So again the Met Office are forecasting a Mild Winter.

Will it be Egg on Face 2 years in a row?