Dear All,
http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/...5_2_024001.pdf
This may provide an interesting read and maybe discussion.
"Lastly, one can invert the title of this paper and
ask ‘Does the occurrence of lower/higher solar activity
make a cold/warm winter in Europe more likely (than the
climatological mean)?’ Our results strongly suggest that it
does, which has implications for seasonal predictions."
Richard