On Nov 1, 9:46*am, Dawlish wrote:
On Oct 30, 11:20*am, Dawlish wrote:

The mild and wet weather looks like it may by replaced by something,
still as wet, but cooler, after the end of this week. Both the gfs and
the ECM are going for a mid Atlantic high, feeding a NW airstream
towards the UK. Nothing Arctic showing yet, as there's a shortwave
feature presently showing at T240, cutting off an Arctic feed, but as
that tracks east, there could be some colder weather waiting in the
wings for mid-November.

"all to play for" *))

GFS certainly looking to spin up a nasty depression and it sits it
squarely in the North Sea by the 9th. it's got a couple interested!
However the ECM doesn't show the same, so I've less confidence than I
had 2 days ago in that northerly, or the North Sea gales. .

Here's some weather jim.

ECM looking more like the gfs in spinning up the low to affect the UK.
Could be some interesting times, over the weekend and into early next
week! The lee northerly could be sharp and could produce a surge in
the North Sea, but it looks like it may be short-lived. Model
agreement says a cyclonic event is now likely to happen. Up to the
professionals at this distance to speculate on the detail.