On Nov 8, 9:22*pm, "Dave Liquorice"
wrote:
On Mon, 08 Nov 2010 21:05:57 +0000, terylene wrote:
There were many warnings and a lot of talk about a "potentially
dangerous" system.

where?

The early warning on the met office site about 5 days ago had words
to that effect.

--
Cheers Dave.
Nr Garrigill, Cumbria. 421m ASL.

And Lyneside, Dave. Someone else remembers. Last week's merchant of
non-outcome doom was Jon. I don't mean the MetO. Again they seemed to
get this reasonably correct. I suppose it's the old forecasting
chestut that has been discussed many times on here and the ECM
ensembles will often flag something up at 5 days which doesn't happen:
if you over-forecast, you'll never be wrong, as once in a while,
you'll be correct and then all will be well. The Met Office themselves
are terribly guilty, via the severe warnings pages - again, something
that has been highlighted many times by a range of people on here.

"Better safe than sorry" is the forecasting maxim these days. It
doesn't lead to good forecasting, generally and the cry of wolf from
forecasters has been heard so many times the echo from the last one
has not disappeared by the time the next one comes around.