On Nov 14, 5:31*pm, Dave Cornwell wrote:
Lawrence Jenkins wrote:
"Teignmouth" wrote in message
....
On Nov 14, 10:55 am, Teignmouth wrote:
It's starting to look a bit tasty for the last week of November.
Mittl Wolkenhttp://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2883.png
500 hPahttp://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2881.png
2m Dew Pointhttp://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn28810.png
Holy Moseshttp://postimage.org/image/17b5a8tb8/
ECM also in agreementhttp://postimage.org/image/21c8ud6o4/
http://postimage.org/image/21cc5fvno/
You know I can't recall the models so eager to keep placing high *pressure
to our north so much-why.
---------------
But Lawrence *- we have seen charts like that especially in the last two
years. Many with HP to the North. They've also always been two weeks
before the event like these ones. We have also seen them change
radically just two days before the start sometimes. Some of those were
in the middle of winter and not the end of November so I wouldn't start
getting too excited. Of course you never know but I wouldn't put the
chances of significant cold or snow at more than 10/1 against at this stage.
Dave
P.S - I've just remembered I have to make an important journey round the
north M25 on the 29th so the odds have just gone down a bit ;-)- Hide quoted text -
- Show quoted text -
Dave
We can't refer to the model archives as they record what actually
happened
not what the models were guessing would happen. But regardless I can't
recall seeing the models placing massive highs to the north of the UK
stretching from Iceland to Scandinavia . Yes I 've seen the big
Scandi/Siberian highs to our east or north east or the Atlantic high
ridging
far north and bringing us a northerly airstream but to my mind these
recent
predicted placements seem odd and very reminiscent of dare I say it
late
December 1978 and 62
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/ar...0119781229.gif
Or late December 62
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/ar...0119621230.gif
Of course we are now talking late November not December but this is
exactly
what I mean
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1921.png taken straight from
tonights 12z GFS
Lawrence