"Dave Cornwell" wrote in message
...
Lawrence Jenkins wrote:
"Teignmouth" wrote in message
...
On Nov 14, 10:55 am, Teignmouth wrote:
It's starting to look a bit tasty for the last week of November.

Mittl Wolkenhttp://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2883.png
500 hPahttp://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2881.png
2m Dew Pointhttp://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn28810.png

Holy Moses http://postimage.org/image/17b5a8tb8/

ECM also in agreement http://postimage.org/image/21c8ud6o4/
http://postimage.org/image/21cc5fvno/





You know I can't recall the models so eager to keep placing high
pressure to our north so much-why.
---------------
But Lawrence - we have seen charts like that especially in the last two
years. Many with HP to the North. They've also always been two weeks
before the event like these ones. We have also seen them change radically
just two days before the start sometimes. Some of those were in the middle
of winter and not the end of November so I wouldn't start getting too
excited. Of course you never know but I wouldn't put the chances of
significant cold or snow at more than 10/1 against at this stage.
Dave

P.S - I've just remembered I have to make an important journey round the
north M25 on the 29th so the odds have just gone down a bit ;-)



Dave



We can't refer to the model archives as they record what actually happened
not what the models were guessing would happen. But regardless I can't
recall seeing the models placing massive highs to the north of the UK
stretching from Iceland to Scandinavia . Yes I 've seen the big
Scandi/Siberian highs to our east or north east or the Atlantic high ridging
far north and bringing us a northerly airstream but to my mind these recent
predicted placements seem odd and very reminiscent of dare I say it late
December 1978 and 62

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/ar...0119781229.gif

Or late December 62
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/ar...0119621230.gif

Of course we are now talking late November not December but this is exactly
what I mean

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1921.png taken straight from
tonights 12z GFS


Lawrence