On Dec 11, 11:28*am, "Col" wrote:

And anyway, yes the GFS has been going for this but at present
it's far beyond even T+240. It could just as easily 'flip' back to
a raging easterly on the next run....

The EC T+240 also looks interestingly poised - enormous amount of
blocking to the north.

I think Lawrence may have done a uk.sci.weather first of "calling the
end of the next cold spell even before the cold spell has started".
Extraordinary effort.

Richard