"Will Hand" wrote in message ...
Darren. That MetO run is a low prob. outlier.
Thanks, Will. I've noticed the MetO run seems to have been really reluctant
of late to fall in line with the other models, as it's been showing a more
mobile (or westerly) type than the others, notably the ECM.

Anything beyond 3 days is unpredictable ATM due to great uncertainties in
the
strong SSW jet near Newfoundland. It may be stronger than models know
about, if
that is the case expect a more developed north, or notheasterly even, over
the
UK next week.
That would explain a heck of a lot. It's quite embarressing to write the
summaries at the moment as the runs really are chopping and changing a lot!
It's times like this that I really wish I had the experience to work out
what was going on, or going to happen... I can pick out trends such as the
liklihood of a brief easterly next week, but I'd do it by noting its
appearance on several runs, rather than the proper way of looking at the
jetstream and the like.
If there's one thing I've learned over the past few years, it's one thing to
look at the charts and present them to the world at large; it's quite
another to acquire the knowledge to spot trends ahead of time as the pros
do!

Ah well, back to the textbooks for me...