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Old December 19th 10, 12:58 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Dawlish Dawlish is offline
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Default Pattern change. End of the cold at 10 days.

On Dec 19, 11:02*am, "Col" wrote:
"John Hall" wrote in message

...



The operational 06Z GFS changes things, with no incursion of the
Atlantic right out to the end of the run. Of course, it's only one run.
It also shows a small low crossing southern England on the night of the
24th/25th, so those betting on a White Christmas could yet be in the
money.


That's quite a flip-flop isn't it?
From raging zonality to a hugh blocking high from one run to another.
But this is a case in point as to why I think the GFS is unfairly
maligned. It forecasts much further ahead (or at least publishes further
ahead) than the other models so it's bound to be seen to change
it's mind more than the others.

Lawrence will enjoy this one, just as long as he doesn't
necessarily *believe* it
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl


Cold outlier, Col.

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