On Dec 19, 2:11*pm, Dave Cornwell wrote:

Sorry, I must have missed the bit in his winter forecast that said the
first part of the winter would see some parts of the UK having it's
coldest, snowiest spell for over a hundred years (certain localities)and
almost everywhere having snow and severe cold. Luckily for us the UKMO
spotted it early and stuck to it.

Credit where it's due. Hopefully they're on to something with many
more levels in the stratosphere in their new forecast model: in
"hindcasting" last winter with the new methodology gets the cold too.
All these little iterative seasonal forecasting improvements are
heartening.

Richard